Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.842847 1.024657 1.216852 1.433480 1.669285 1.916781 2.194820
2025-02-09 0.645798 0.908291 1.205331 1.558908 1.961750 2.400809 2.910260
2025-02-16 0.519997 0.819025 1.174760 1.614003 2.128924 2.702766 3.380837
2025-02-23 0.409521 0.728050 1.126766 1.636420 2.249340 2.945583 3.780843
2025-03-02 0.291736 0.604594 1.020764 1.573458 2.256146 3.046713 4.009275
2025-03-09 0.197168 0.493261 0.915493 1.499116 2.239310 3.112303 4.189870
2025-03-16 0.135649 0.416318 0.845407 1.460558 2.258781 3.214709 4.407866
2025-03-23 0.104378 0.381747 0.829859 1.489691 2.359722 3.412557 4.736500
2025-03-30 0.074176 0.339924 0.798282 1.493329 2.425464 3.565667 5.010395
2025-04-06 0.045951 0.290312 0.748371 1.467135 2.449483 3.665269 5.218326
2025-04-13 0.036225 0.280419 0.760311 1.526996 2.584950 3.901972 5.591077
2025-04-20 0.028288 0.271823 0.772995 1.587103 2.720295 4.138347 5.963467
2025-04-27 0.023817 0.274040 0.807507 1.684700 2.913357 4.456584 6.447788
2025-05-04 0.021382 0.282631 0.853970 1.801441 3.134243 4.812519 6.981658
2025-05-11 0.015308 0.273420 0.867069 1.867535 3.286222 5.081046 7.408101
2025-05-18 0.008021 0.250056 0.851748 1.889607 3.378020 5.273362 7.741367
2025-05-25 0.001048 0.200816 0.780463 1.822233 3.345175 5.305616 7.876563
2025-06-01 NaN 0.154101 0.704374 1.741498 3.289821 5.306104 7.970045
2025-06-08 NaN 0.123679 0.655594 1.699759 3.285390 5.369235 8.138481
2025-06-15 NaN 0.113628 0.652092 1.731331 3.384045 5.565703 8.473030
2025-06-22 NaN 0.098428 0.632911 1.735282 3.442477 5.709277 8.741125
2025-06-29 NaN 0.078475 0.596129 1.706875 3.452889 5.789020 8.928408
2025-07-06 NaN 0.077737 0.613121 1.771762 3.598773 6.047157 9.340604